Binance spot grid · BTC/USDT · 2026-07-14 to 2026-10-12
We launched a BTC/USDT spot grid every day for the last 90 days, each running 7 days, with ranges centred on the price at launch. Each run is compared with simply holding the BTC the grid bought at the start.
In this period the ±5% range with 10 levels beat holding BTC most often: in 66% of weekly launches. That's history, not a recommendation. Holding BTC itself returned a median +0.79% per week in this period.
| Range around launch price | Median 7-day return | Grid vs holding | Beat holding | Round trips | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ±5% · 10 levels | +1.01% | +0.22 pp | 66% | 8 | 100% |
| ±5% · 20 levels | +0.77% | +0.09 pp | 58% | 34 | 100% |
| ±5% · 50 levels | +0.29% | −0.33 pp | 0% | 145 | 100% |
| ±10% · 10 levels | +0.69% | +0.15 pp | 64% | 3 | 100% |
| ±10% · 20 levels | +0.65% | +0.12 pp | 63% | 10 | 100% |
| ±10% · 50 levels | +0.45% | −0.04 pp | 47% | 50 | 100% |
| ±20% · 10 levels | +0.56% | −0.06 pp | 41% | 0 | 100% |
| ±20% · 20 levels | +0.46% | +0.05 pp | 61% | 2 | 100% |
| ±20% · 50 levels | +0.40% | +0.01 pp | 56% | 15 | 100% |
| ±30% · 10 levels | +0.26% | −0.06 pp | 10% | 0 | 100% |
| ±30% · 20 levels | +0.44% | −0.01 pp | 48% | 1 | 100% |
| ±30% · 50 levels | +0.36% | −0.01 pp | 46% | 6 | 100% |
Geometric levels, 0.1% fee per trade, 5 bps slippage, 1-hour Binance candles, 90 launches per row. "Grid vs holding": return minus holding the coin share the grid bought at launch. How we test.