Binance spot grid · BTC/USDT · 2026-07-11 to 2026-10-09
We launched a BTC/USDT spot grid every day for the last 90 days, each running 7 days, with ranges centred on the price at launch. Each run is compared with simply holding the BTC the grid bought at the start.
In this period the ±10% range with 10 levels beat holding BTC most often: in 68% of weekly launches. That's history, not a recommendation. Holding BTC itself returned a median +1.00% per week in this period.
| Range around launch price | Median 7-day return | Grid vs holding | Beat holding | Round trips | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ±5% · 10 levels | +1.05% | +0.26 pp | 67% | 9 | 100% |
| ±5% · 20 levels | +0.81% | +0.13 pp | 59% | 35 | 100% |
| ±5% · 50 levels | +0.37% | −0.33 pp | 0% | 147 | 100% |
| ±10% · 10 levels | +0.79% | +0.20 pp | 68% | 3 | 100% |
| ±10% · 20 levels | +0.69% | +0.13 pp | 64% | 10 | 100% |
| ±10% · 50 levels | +0.58% | −0.01 pp | 50% | 52 | 100% |
| ±20% · 10 levels | +0.62% | −0.06 pp | 44% | 0 | 100% |
| ±20% · 20 levels | +0.59% | +0.07 pp | 63% | 3 | 100% |
| ±20% · 50 levels | +0.52% | +0.03 pp | 58% | 16 | 100% |
| ±30% · 10 levels | +0.34% | −0.06 pp | 7% | 0 | 100% |
| ±30% · 20 levels | +0.51% | −0.00 pp | 49% | 1 | 100% |
| ±30% · 50 levels | +0.45% | −0.00 pp | 49% | 6 | 100% |
Geometric levels, 0.1% fee per trade, 5 bps slippage, 1-hour Binance candles, 90 launches per row. "Grid vs holding": return minus holding the coin share the grid bought at launch. How we test.